Seth Schalet on LinkedIn: Brief communication: The Lahaina Fire disaster – how models can be used to… (2024)

From 1950 to 2023, meteorologists identified a total of 482 hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. These are storms with maximum winds of 74mph (119km/h) or greater. Of those, roughly 60% of them underwent rapid intensification – meaning their wind speeds increased by 35mph(56.3km/h) or more in a 24-hour period. Research shows that since 1970s, the number of storms escalating into category 4 or 5 hurricanes has roughly doubled in the North Atlantic.

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In an era marked by the escalating intensity of hurricanes, the business landscape faces unprecedented threats. Rapid intensification not only jeopardizes lives and infrastructure but also poses a direct risk to businesses, causing potential disruptions to supply chains and significant financial losses. Navigating this dynamic scenario requires strategic foresight and the integration of Emergency Management executives into corporate leadership—a crucial investment in resilience and sustainable continuity.✅#EmergencyManagementLeadership #HurricaneResilience #BusinessContinuity #ClimateRiskMitigation #ExecutiveSearchInsights

As natural disasters continue to increase in intensity and frequency each year, several studies have indicated over half of U.S. properties are now threatened by them: http://atty.es/RqCu50Qy3Fs

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Why has 2023 experienced a record-breaking tornado season in the US, and why were there so few winter storms in Europe in 2023? Read our thoughts on this and other topics in our latest Nat Cat Review!Great work, Cameron Rye and team!#wtw #climate

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In partnership with Alliance Bernstein, "a newly revamped tool from theNational Center for Disaster Preparedness(NCDP) at Columbia University'sClimate Schoolaims to help communities better prepare for natural hazards by providing data-driven information about the specific risks that different geographic areas face. TheNatural Hazards Index map applicationis a publicly available, interactive map that illustrates the hazard level of 14 different natural hazards across the United States and Puerto Rico, including extreme heat, earthquakes, landslides, tornadoes, and floods" This has the potential to inform investment decisions and also benefit communities across the country #climatecrisis #research #responsibleinvesting

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"The previous record was set in 2020, with a year-end total of 22. This year's billion-dollar #disasters so far include 18 severe #storms, two #flooding events, one tropical #cyclone, one #wildfire, and one winter storm. The final figure for 2023 could rise, not only because it's just September, but also because some calculations still need to be finalized, including for Tropical Storm Hilary and a Southern and Midwest #drought."https://lnkd.in/dupjNaXu

Our H1 Natural Catastrophe Review is now out. We review recent events to provide new insights and lessons learned to help with natural catastrophe risk management. There are a number of great pieces in this edition, including: - Ross S. Stein and colleagues from Temblor, Inc. write about the implications of the Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, earthquakes for California.- Neil Gunn discusses Cyclone Gabrielle and property market tipping points in New Zealand- Daniel Bannister reviews the unprecedented wildfires we have seen in Canada over the last two months.- Adam Scaife and colleagues at the University of Exeter ask the question: Why were there so few European winter windstorms in 2022/2023?- Scott St. George writes about some of the meteorological and socio-economic effects that businesses should expect from El Niño's return.- James Done from NCAR - The National Center for Atmospheric Research discusses what the upcoming North Atlantic hurricane season might hold (Record hot Atlantic Ocean versus El Niño). #naturalcatastrophes #riskmanagement #catmodelling #climatechange

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HURRICANE-WEARY HOME BUYERS flock to Ocala...Excerpt from The Wall Street Journal:Florida gets 40% of the direct hits from hurricanes, significantly more than any other state,according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. As the climate continues to warm, Atlantic hurricanes in the coming century are expected to have higher rainfall rates than present-day hurricanes and be more intense, with higher peak winds and lower central pressures on average. And, all else equal, they will boost the coastal inundation levels associated with tropical cyclones, along with the rising sea level, according toan analysisbased on a number of climate-modeling studies by Thomas Knutson, senior scientist for the NOAA and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory.Not all parts of Florida are equally at risk of natural disasters. The Wall Street Journal asked Climate Alpha—a company that uses AI to build forecasting models based on data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency related to past events, predictions of future weather, an analysis of local government disaster policies, and infrastructure, including hospital beds—to come up with a list of areas in Florida with the least combined risk from hurricanes, flooding and strong winds.The winner for lowest risk of coastal flooding: Ocala, located in the center of the state, 82 miles from Orlando and 97 miles from Tampa. According to Climate Alpha, when accounting for a combination of high winds, drought and inland flooding, Ocala comes in third in the state, behind Lake City and Tallahassee. In fact, Ocala’s risk for inland flooding is lower than that of Lake City and Tallahassee. https://lnkd.in/ejN452RN

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NIWA is there any update on how this data is going to be used for Te Tairawhiti? I am particularly interested in practical ways we can impliment your knowledge for plantations, orchards and native plant nurseries in Whare Kahika, Te Araroa, Tikitiki, Ruatoria and Uawa.

California had it all this week-end, hit by a tropical cyclone, first time since 1939, wildfires, floods and an earthquake.The tropical cyclone is very rare, normally it does not hit California, but a number of weather patterns allowed it. It's been the wettest tropycal cyclone in State history. Apparently, it is not a coincidence that the State was also hit by an earthquake. These can be triggered by floods during tropical cyclones as it is explained in this article https://lnkd.in/g9eYrzGgSo, climate change's extreme events can be characterised by bigger events such as earthquakes. How much worse is it going to get before concrete action is taken? Do we really want to see the full power of nature unleashed?#climatechange #climatechangeevents #extremeclimateevents #eartquakes #flashfloodshttps://lnkd.in/gXiSuvdP